Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dc137c005485b61f45e943551bcdbe483cea901d411b1751f75145f7aadeee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 1,495$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.61 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 58c | 344.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 42c | 309.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed Under | 40c | 210.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 54c | 186.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 60c | 135$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 117.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715f…c6abbacked Over | 60c | 100.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 99.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 89.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 84.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 47c | 83.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 77.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 76.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 74.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 74.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 42c | 55.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 41c | 45.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 59c | 27.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 44c | 23.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.