Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe401d1bac7e7ddfbcae898fb04200c4832b102b61797b358b7fef764cc7692b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 8,800$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.54 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 49c | 5,011$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 79c | 3,821$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.48 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 3,216$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.48 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…2266backed Yes | 29c | 2,895$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 52c | 2,509$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,426$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.43 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 2,017$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.13 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 1c | 1,497$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 1,347$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 1,344$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.45 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 53c | 1,233$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.66 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed No | 59c | 1,022$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 35c | 860.76$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…a08fbacked No | 79c | 820.67$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 21c | 759.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +208.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 701.67$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 50c | 700$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 27c | 666.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 79c | 649.47$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 23c | 525.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 23c | 506.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 501.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 480.03$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…8cbabacked No | 53c | 480$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 23c | 440.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 51c | 430.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 358.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 51c | 351.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 47c | 336.45$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…614cbacked No | 79c | 309.59$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…0c2abacked Yes | 22c | 304.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 12c | 230$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 24c | 230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Yes | 21c | 185$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 5c | 184.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 18c | 182.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 80c | 171.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 32c | 162.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 76c | 147.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba8…c31fbacked Yes | 21c | 111$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 23c | 107.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…bd70backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 51c | 98.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 88.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 25c | 81.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 23c | 75.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4b…c2bcbacked Yes | 29c | 70.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +90%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 68.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 42c | 54.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…23e5backed Yes | 52c | 38.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…cac2backed No | 60c | 37.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 33.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 79c | 31.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 79c | 28.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…8fccbacked No | 56c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f4…30d0backed No | 52c | 26.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked No | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked No | 55c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked No | 77c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.