Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af5b5bdea5196ae07abaa7365df109f89f35146f4cb9a2c69805a0cbc06b7b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 76c | 10,334$7,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.19 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 24c | 7,666$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 4,747$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.34 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,917$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 34c | 1,700$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,280$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 1,256$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.85 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 1,123$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 967.99$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.05 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 649$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 638$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 568.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 27c | 551.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Yes | 25c | 541.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 76c | 529$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 16c | 368.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 24c | 300.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 252.44$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 219$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 24c | 211.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 23c | 203$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 11c | 199.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 157.1$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…2f7dbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 29c | 149.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…f3ffbacked Yes | 20c | 147.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 25c | 119$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 30c | 84.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 79c | 73.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 69.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed Yes | 30c | 67.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 36c | 49.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…5394backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…a521backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 23.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…8fccbacked No | 75c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 77c | 14.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…7e4dbacked No | 75c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-02?Yes won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.