Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2635b4d20ac8094c89ed7d031aa7ca1f9702d7c82550e8b56b7b09d23a97f5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb864…350dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,792$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,641$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,626$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,076$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 75c | 662.85$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 656.29$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Yes | 32c | 623.24$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 302$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 27c | 290.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…aa0cbacked No | 76c | 284.1$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 31c | 200.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 6c | 195.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…23f7backed Yes | 27c | 188.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 27c | 187.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 12c | 150.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 26c | 135.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 135.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 17c | 130.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…aaa3backed Yes | 27c | 110.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…83fcbacked No | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Yes | 23c | 98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 91.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 23c | 90.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 86.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 27c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 70.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 24c | 58.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed No | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…5e15backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 73c | 40.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed No | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.