Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x134d6f4f72a2d877f6046770a871da1a1befafa4f7d24b2b1bd78e5256a2103e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Over | 56c | 7,637$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.75 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 4,513$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.19 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 44c | 2,852$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.51 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 44c | 2,749$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.16 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…9648backed Over | 58c | 1,601$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 1,498$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.52 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 56c | 1,259$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 670.39$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.98 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 603.25$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.82 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 57c | 523.4$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 57c | 429.71$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 56c | 295.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…f958backed Over | 35c | 287.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Over | 56c | 249.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…0b75backed Over | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Over | 56c | 179.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 58c | 173.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…851dbacked Over | 57c | 141$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Over | 54c | 140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 46c | 107.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 58c | 100.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a24abacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 52c | 99.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 58c | 95.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Over | 58c | 86.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 51c | 67.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…d8c3backed Under | 68c | 63.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 44c | 59.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 55c | 56.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Over | 41c | 55.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Under | 74c | 51.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 55c | 45.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 48c | 39.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Over | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…b589backed Over | 55c | 31.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 47c | 28.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…2c2abacked Under | 43c | 27.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Paris FC (-0.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.