Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5979d2e21087b4c299f0411bfb3a513c25f826b94f655cd9591ae4c32f391d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 1,111$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.71 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 39c | 443.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.82 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked No | 39c | 374.68$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.94 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1674…e636backed No | 78c | 252.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 61c | 211$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 20c | 194.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 61c | 97.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 37.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…d713backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…0591backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Yes | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Paris FC (-0.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.