Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris FC (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x728a3492d2b2048055949c5613541f3b11e5be9e301fa7176998a26c65e4bfa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Rennais FC 1901of Paris FC, Stade Rennais FC 1901
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 58c | 2,570$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.46 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris FC | 42c | 2,475$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.85 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Paris FC | 42c | 675.43$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 58c | 343.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 56c | 332.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Paris FC | 42c | 180.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Paris FC | 41c | 128.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Paris FC | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 56c | 49.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Paris FC | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris FC (-0.5)this page
- Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.