Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Konyaspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82da43bfa0a37bb49068cdca5bf9fd373827bc2d4802f0d319a43864d54cb34c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 3c | 2,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 1c | 2,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 1,008$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked No | 3c | 900$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 709.71$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 13c | 675$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 73c | 556$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 27c | 556$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 417$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 12c | 390$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 335$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 264.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 20c | 205.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a74cbacked No | 74c | 177.57$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 27c | 172.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 168.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 45c | 164.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…f470backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Yes | 27c | 88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 70.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 28c | 41.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 74c | 39.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 20.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e0d0backed No | 76c | 17.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…910dbacked No | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Konyaspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.