Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ac6832a56b38d7a94791f0573f55c9a01ac49fa0e069a78f447b49ec8be20c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 74c | 1,611$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 577.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 457$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 25c | 393.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 26c | 365.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 247.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 247$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 170.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Yes | 26c | 162.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 24c | 153$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 148.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 23c | 146.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 128.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 111.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…b6aebacked Yes | 12c | 96.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 24c | 95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 26c | 70.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 79c | 42.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked No | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 18.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e0d0backed No | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…910dbacked No | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Konyaspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.