Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x961c0252a6681618aa47e772f3021cf7509f50e96e083bff6b88466e52b2adce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 52c | 27,208$14,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,109.49 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 52c | 8,651$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.03 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 6,573$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.88 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…c4acbacked No | 53c | 5,443$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 4,498$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.68 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 3,488$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.92 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 3,184$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 2,628$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 4c | 2,503$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.58 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 47c | 1,936$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.71 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 53c | 1,921$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 988$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 44c | 588$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 80c | 588$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed No | 53c | 467.07$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 46c | 441$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 393.88$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.32 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 380.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.15 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 31c | 333.05$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 51c | 323$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.46 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 45c | 291.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 52c | 286$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 46c | 210.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 51c | 198.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 63c | 196.4$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 52c | 188.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 35c | 180.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 47c | 127$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 51c | 91.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 19c | 62.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 52c | 57.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 52c | 44.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 55c | 43.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 46c | 43.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 40.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…b6aebacked No | 50c | 36.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed No | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed No | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 32c | 32.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 42c | 31.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked No | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e0d0backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 50c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…910dbacked Yes | 50c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed No | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Konyaspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.