South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Blooming vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c6af9b05a87fb370f5c27d6ebbb17d9145f897b441f4efc27c5c6340180f0b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.93 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 3,729$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 46c | 1,542$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.16 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 1,375$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 40c | 1,259$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.5 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 1,249$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.78 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 1,140$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.94 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 1,055$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.75 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 37c | 513.15$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 41c | 476.19$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.45 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 42c | 433.31$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 40c | 416.03$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 61c | 248.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 233.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 215$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 74c | 182.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 152$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 126.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 54c | 117.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 47c | 110.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 101.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 39c | 83.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Under | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 65c | 79.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 54c | 71.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Over | 46c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 61.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 57.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 32c | 52.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 43c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 51c | 38.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 30.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 48c | 26.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 51c | 23.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 57c | 22.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 22.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 58c | 22.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Blooming vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Blooming vs. Carabobo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Blooming vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Blooming vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Blooming vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.