Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Aleksandar Vukic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf849b6db75f54d381661c996ce730bfaa5d25a5dc52378017cd97e74d39f3759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Vukic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Vukic | 15c | 30,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Vukic | 16c | 6,289$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Vukic | 8c | 5,051$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.69 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Vukic | 10c | 4,991$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.05 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Vukic | 2c | 4,113$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Vukic | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Vukic | 3c | 2,473$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Vukic | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Vukic | 11c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Vukic | 15c | 1,343$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…4edabacked Vukic | 3c | 1,212$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Vukic | 19c | 1,145$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.75 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Vukic | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Vukic | 13c | 737.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vukic | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Vukic | 17c | 520.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa745…4b10backed Vukic | 2c | 519.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Vukic | 11c | 489.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Vukic | 9c | 466.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…baafbacked Vukic | 2c | 462.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Vukic | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e2…1026backed Vukic | 13c | 312.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…21d7backed Vukic | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Vukic | 18c | 278.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Vukic | 5c | 248.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Vukic | 14c | 226.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Vukic | 9c | 201.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Vukic | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…ebefbacked Vukic | 13c | 199$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed Vukic | 13c | 190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f7…15febacked Vukic | 20c | 147.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…a3f3backed Vukic | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Vukic | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Vukic | 11c | 106.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf773…b62dbacked Vukic | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…1054backed Vukic | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Vukic | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Vukic | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Vukic | 12c | 99.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…7674backed Vukic | 20c | 97.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…686ebacked Vukic | 13c | 91.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…e01dbacked Vukic | 23c | 87.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…c2d3backed Fritz | 79c | 81.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Vukic | 24c | 61.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Fritz | 79c | 59.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Vukic | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Fritz | 73c | 34.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Fritz | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.