Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b61d70e024316228dddcd26937d0b79df309d6d7ba0fb073e34b6cc049af4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26d2…6b85backed No | 73c | 1,454$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Yes | 27c | 1,452$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,385$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,283$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.94 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 42c | 781.88$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.19 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 27c | 700$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…a3f3backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 331$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 29c | 210$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 70c | 135$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…9096backed Yes | 49c | 123.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Yes | 49c | 107.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Yes | 25c | 99.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 24c | 82.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 28c | 58.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 79c | 37.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…fab2backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +306.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…e02abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…0ce4backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 69c | 23.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-10-30?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-10-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.