NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49eb46fd4cd220bb050481e91b59a295b7de27a11384eac176a1137d6d208bad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 786 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sabres | 40c | 23,648$9,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,189.09 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 30c | 20,909$6,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,605.69 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Red Wings | 60c | 17,813$10,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,687.57 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Red Wings | 61c | 16,593$10,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,181.28 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings | 68c | 13,991$9,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,457.15 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 60c | 11,114$6,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,668.24 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…fd59backed Red Wings | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings | 60c | 8,996$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.09 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…5d74backed Sabres | 38c | 8,632$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Red Wings | 73c | 8,453$6,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,144.98 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Sabres | 38c | 5,889$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.45 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres | 39c | 5,768$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.2 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Sabres | 38c | 5,500$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Red Wings | 61c | 5,500$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.95 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 40c | 4,350$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Wings | 70c | 4,231$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.73 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Sabres | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sabres | 40c | 3,627$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.09 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabres | 39c | 3,098$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.77 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 40c | 3,047$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.42 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Red Wings | 74c | 3,016$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.84 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Red Wings | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Red Wings | 59c | 2,682$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.42 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 66c | 2,579$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.35 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sabres | 38c | 2,329$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.75 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 39c | 2,220$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.09 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Sabres | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Sabres | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sabres | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.94 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 78c | 1,891$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 41c | 1,886$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.09 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 60c | 1,765$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Red Wings | 63c | 1,746$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sabres | 38c | 1,621$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,554$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Red Wings | 60c | 1,449$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.72 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sabres | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.5 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Sabres | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0981backed Red Wings | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Red Wings | 2c | 1,189$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…19f8backed Sabres | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Red Wings | 60c | 1,028$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.94 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Sabres | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Red Wings | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 52c | 924$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.33 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Red Wings | 62c | 847.89$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.2 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres | 39c | 822.47$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.83 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Sabres | 38c | 812.22$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.57 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Sabres | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Sabres | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Red Wings | 61c | 750$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Sabres | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Red Wings | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Sabres | 68c | 699.47$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings | 60c | 629.01$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…b5a2backed Red Wings | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815e…d71abacked Red Wings | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…344fbacked Sabres | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…2721backed Sabres | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…8a4abacked Red Wings | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52cf…d885backed Red Wings | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb335…c4f4backed Sabres | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7db4backed Sabres | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Sabres | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…9417backed Red Wings | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…328abacked Red Wings | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…9550backed Red Wings | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…85babacked Sabres | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…a048backed Red Wings | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ec…b42fbacked Sabres | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…b01ebacked Sabres | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…41e9backed Red Wings | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…85cabacked Sabres | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…7005backed Red Wings | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…3d4bbacked Sabres | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…3084backed Red Wings | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7095…3269backed Red Wings | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…7ca8backed Red Wings | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…85c8backed Sabres | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…712dbacked Red Wings | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…bee5backed Sabres | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…d929backed Red Wings | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…7d62backed Sabres | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…58dabacked Sabres | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…0897backed Sabres | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…b7b9backed Red Wings | 59c | 580$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…96e5backed Red Wings | 59c | 580$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…e54dbacked Red Wings | 59c | 580$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…5157backed Sabres | 41c | 580$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…4ad5backed Sabres | 41c | 580$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d69…bb6dbacked Red Wings | 59c | 580$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…34b8backed Sabres | 41c | 580$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…55e4backed Red Wings | 59c | 580$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0fd7backed Sabres | 41c | 580$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…1a78backed Sabres | 41c | 580$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…9ca2backed Sabres | 41c | 580$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…9405backed Red Wings | 59c | 580$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4edabacked Red Wings | 59c | 570$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…2cb6backed Red Wings | 59c | 570$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Sabres vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.