South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c8ae430a2a3f5f3bb0d7ecd58ad1b37a85de601d54e0ce49ab33caeab74162a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 47c | 1,788$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.27 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 1,626$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 38c | 1,315$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.96 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 71c | 1,302$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 1,255$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 61c | 1,168$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.49 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 61c | 666.9$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.14 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…1156backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +207.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Yes | 39c | 255.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343a…0113backed Yes | 40c | 251.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 60c | 250$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…45e6backed Yes | 39c | 238.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…0b06backed Yes | 42c | 238.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 68c | 232.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 63c | 217.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe027…ce6cbacked Yes | 39c | 164.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 39c | 136.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…df08backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 31c | 114.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 113.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577b…ad6abacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…42e1backed Yes | 44c | 79.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…7076backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Yes | 39c | 63.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…46cfbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…4f3abacked Yes | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 49c | 55.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f2…034bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…3ef3backed Yes | 42c | 41.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +182.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked No | 32c | 41.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…ef21backed Yes | 73c | 41.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b527backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76c…eecbbacked Yes | 42c | 28.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…f73dbacked No | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.