Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffdc82a879a8dbef493a59f5bc8fb3f2de140fecc28fd70fb1a8c3ffc09d42f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 1c | 29,859$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 11c | 6,869$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.88 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 13c | 6,764$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.63 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 6,513$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 14c | 6,020$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.7 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 13c | 3,795$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.35 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 12c | 3,208$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.48 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 15c | 3,099$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.86 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 13c | 1,251$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 13c | 1,223$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed No | 12c | 1,100$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed No | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 13c | 769$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 11c | 431.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 15c | 198$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 14c | 148.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 11c | 112.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…a618backed No | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 14c | 94.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 77c | 23.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?No won
- Will PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.