World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ab59721a90f8ae606d36ddc4aa34cb5192a8a9bb4a421c2bf4a0408eee7b06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 39c | 2,324$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.35 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 49c | 759.55$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.36 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 61c | 439.36$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 411.25$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.11 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 67c | 359.45$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 326$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 316.73$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked No | 73c | 288.66$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 27c | 280.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 278$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 56c | 269.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 63c | 216.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 212.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 203.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 31c | 203$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 63c | 192.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 44c | 178.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…e9f4backed Yes | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 35c | 151.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 149.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 137.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 38c | 135.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 33c | 128.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 64c | 119.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 29c | 119.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 114.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 74c | 111.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 108.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 107.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 103.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed Yes | 58c | 100.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 53c | 93.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 30c | 92.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed No | 67c | 88.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 61c | 86.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 52c | 85.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 66c | 85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 36c | 83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 22c | 81.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 79.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 71c | 78.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 37c | 78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 37c | 77.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 76.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 63c | 75.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 58 | 75.9%44 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 72.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 41c | 70.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…c045backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…f8bcbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 64c | 68.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 34c | 67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 34c | 66.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 63.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 67c | 61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed No | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…c1e6backed No | 62c | 58.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…714fbacked Yes | 26c | 56.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 59c | 56.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 55.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…3cf9backed No | 68c | 53.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 68c | 53.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 62c | 53.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 38c | 53.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 35c | 51.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…68ffbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 65c | 49.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 34c | 48.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 39c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 46c | 46.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c8…b823backed No | 65c | 46.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 62c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 64c | 41.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 67c | 39.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 64c | 39.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 68c | 38.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 51c | 36.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 50c | 36.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 49c | 36.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked Yes | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked No | 62c | 33.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…b951backed Yes | 68c | 33.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 33c | 32.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…b4e2backed Yes | 42c | 32.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 32.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.