Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41fdcd28e8666dcb1dc5a5bfefbacfd963ef6e08a95e36fb53180942cb3936e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 61c | 932$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.85 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 38c | 469.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.98 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 332.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.02 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 313.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.54 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 280.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 268.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 262.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 40c | 245.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 34c | 222.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 62c | 209.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 197.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 38c | 196$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fe42backed No | 66c | 190.93$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 16c | 178$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 155.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 58c | 144.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 38c | 141.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 133.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 114.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 49c | 112.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 39c | 107.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked Yes | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 17c | 101.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 95.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 54c | 91.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 53c | 91.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…c1e6backed No | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 43c | 87.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 44c | 86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 67c | 73.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 44c | 69.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 42c | 60.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 59.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 63c | 59.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 33c | 57.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 54c | 55.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 64c | 54.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 51c | 54.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 34c | 53.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 68c | 50.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…63e9backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 46.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed Yes | 26c | 46.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 44.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 34c | 44.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…6583backed No | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Yes | 41c | 41.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed No | 50c | 40.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 44c | 37.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 52c | 35.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 51c | 33.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 34c | 31.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 50c | 28.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…b662backed Yes | 57c | 26.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 48c | 23.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 50c | 23.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 58c | 22.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 22.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 59c | 21.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 58c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 20.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…a400backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…f324backed No | 56c | 18.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 15.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.