Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d4dd200d0407d6f0b4c184e06bd46841e85bfdbc314188d01aa65caecd0e4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,156$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.98 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 59c | 1,238$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked No | 79c | 593.26$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 41c | 545.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.17 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 514.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 49c | 370$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…7c99backed Yes | 76c | 368.07$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 349.8$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 58c | 284.56$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 272$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 30c | 252$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 39c | 238.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 236.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 57c | 223.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 66c | 219$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 213.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 173.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 16c | 166.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 56c | 150.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 45c | 148.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 58c | 119.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…96cebacked Yes | 41c | 118.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 42c | 106.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 41c | 106.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 32c | 101.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed No | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 68c | 90.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 67c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 45c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…99eabacked Yes | 67c | 74.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 55c | 74.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 63c | 65.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 60.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked No | 41c | 52.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 52.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 42c | 51.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 50.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…15d4backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…3e25backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 56c | 48.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 77c | 44.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 42c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 43.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed Yes | 35c | 42.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf85…f199backed Yes | 29c | 41.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…ecb6backed Yes | 65c | 41.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 78c | 37.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…d3e9backed Yes | 55c | 36.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 49c | 36.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 65c | 34.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 76c | 32.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 32.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed No | 55c | 30.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 30.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 48c | 28.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 66c | 26.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…47d0backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 70c | 23.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…4614backed Yes | 72c | 23.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 71c | 22.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed No | 79c | 21.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 71c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 67c | 16.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 65c | 15.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…cb91backed No | 75c | 15.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 75c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.