Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d42c9f7ce54644f286fb37a32aace8d07136dc8cca16f01d5d423962c8fbc22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777f…d8b2backed No | 15c | 2,062$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.5 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,671$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.7 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 51c | 1,164$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.41 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 15c | 1,105$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.76 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed No | 18c | 571.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.83 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 53c | 561.14$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.64 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 32c | 469.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 456.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 50c | 451.71$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 21c | 434.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 60c | 433.86$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 10c | 330.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.23 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…96cebacked No | 18c | 310.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.6 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 48c | 291.57$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed No | 52c | 282.48$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 32c | 280.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 55c | 273.64$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 56c | 271.43$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 253.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…7be5backed No | 51c | 244.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 44c | 214.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 40c | 212.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 51c | 206.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 76c | 197.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 74c | 186.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.54 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 40c | 180.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 74c | 180$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 53c | 155.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 65c | 144.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 67c | 141.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…fec5backed Yes | 35c | 141.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 30c | 138.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 52c | 128$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 42c | 125.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 23c | 124.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 124$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 48c | 123.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 30c | 121.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 28c | 121$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 26c | 112.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 80c | 110$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 58c | 108.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…6972backed No | 55c | 102.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 229 | 59.8%137 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 301 | 44.9%135 W · 166 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 96.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 24c | 94.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…6318backed Yes | 45c | 90.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 11c | 89.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 89.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…05a6backed Yes | 39c | 88.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…c757backed No | 51c | 88.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 35c | 87.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 40c | 86.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…bd3cbacked No | 43c | 85.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…8689backed Yes | 45c | 81.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…acc4backed Yes | 32c | 78.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 51c | 76.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 63c | 76.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 75.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 52c | 73.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 78c | 72.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 40c | 70.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 49c | 69.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed No | 43c | 69.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…3785backed Yes | 57c | 68.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 38c | 67.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 46c | 65.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 51c | 65.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 48c | 65.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 44c | 62.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked No | 21c | 61.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 50c | 61.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 26c | 60.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 39c | 60.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed No | 30c | 59.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 47c | 58.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 49c | 54.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 24c | 52.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 58c | 52.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…fdaabacked Yes | 46c | 50.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed Yes | 46c | 50.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 46c | 46.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 44.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 48c | 44.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…bdc8backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 70c | 42.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 50c | 40.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed No | 30c | 39.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.