La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe127c863aa33497d1d928031e533ce0217bd84f03fd09dcb1921e9118b742080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 16c | 120,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 12,741$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…c9c2backed Yes | 15c | 7,584$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 17c | 1,093$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 20c | 1,025$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…82f1backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 166.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 15c | 163.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…36f8backed Yes | 21c | 102.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…2ce6backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…862ebacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…5f8bbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…e093backed Yes | 16c | 87.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2319…4029backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-23?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.