Cricket · resolved market
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac7ea9e95f60f68c6365a6d251168d18574ca293c3904005f6e1e144d3dd72d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Zealandof New Zealand, West Indies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed West Indies | 1c | 5,950$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed West Indies | 13c | 5,025$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed New Zealand | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed West Indies | 4c | 899.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked New Zealand | 76c | 658.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed West Indies | 4c | 620$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked West Indies | 10c | 613.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed West Indies | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed West Indies | 21c | 466.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked West Indies | 13c | 388.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed West Indies | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked West Indies | 8c | 364.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…d668backed West Indies | 10c | 227$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…33c7backed West Indies | 6c | 190$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…93c7backed West Indies | 13c | 144.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…d3edbacked West Indies | 9c | 143.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed West Indies | 23c | 132$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked New Zealand | 78c | 127.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…ca81backed New Zealand | 79c | 127.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…5b93backed West Indies | 22c | 103.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed West Indies | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…c8bebacked West Indies | 23c | 91.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…bf9fbacked West Indies | 23c | 89.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1d…1d22backed New Zealand | 79c | 82.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked New Zealand | 78c | 76.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…bd69backed New Zealand | 79c | 54.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked New Zealand | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…4883backed New Zealand | 78c | 51.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked New Zealand | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…208cbacked New Zealand | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…86e1backed New Zealand | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed New Zealand | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…da85backed New Zealand | 78c | 31.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…82edbacked New Zealand | 77c | 31.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…2633backed New Zealand | 77c | 29.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…fd34backed New Zealand | 78c | 28.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d396backed New Zealand | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e3…491fbacked New Zealand | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…ead5backed New Zealand | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…3ab7backed New Zealand | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…2014backed New Zealand | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed New Zealand | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…f2fabacked New Zealand | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…d071backed New Zealand | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…4113backed New Zealand | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…a228backed New Zealand | 78c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…e2a7backed New Zealand | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dec…47fbbacked New Zealand | 79c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.