Serie A · resolved market
Will Verona vs. Juventus end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdda44fdf97f9470a47df089067fe536486c656be8bbeb62747d4b51bf7f21a5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 940$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 743.26$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.1 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 78c | 610$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 24c | 459.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.89 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 384.19$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.83 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 17c | 335.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 76c | 264$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 28c | 234.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 67c | 232.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 71c | 225$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 51c | 224.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 209.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 23c | 175.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 75c | 168.02$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.02 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 24c | 78.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Yes | 59c | 73.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…6d69backed Yes | 75c | 54.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…0119backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Verona vs. Juventus end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Verona win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.