Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Kecmanovic vs. Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa8f9b688efb78622cce6326dc9542aad64d6d0355bb1be996a0c7a0c930e64f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Kecmanovic, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae5c…53ddbacked Kecmanovic | 0c | 62,174$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…a4a4backed Kecmanovic | 7c | 32,029$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Kecmanovic | 4c | 5,374$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Kecmanovic | 6c | 3,440$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kecmanovic | 4c | 3,090$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Kecmanovic | 4c | 2,723$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kecmanovic | 4c | 2,146$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Kecmanovic | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kecmanovic | 6c | 1,450$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kecmanovic | 5c | 1,072$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kecmanovic | 3c | 583$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Kecmanovic | 4c | 564.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…4567backed Kecmanovic | 4c | 555.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Kecmanovic | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Kecmanovic | 4c | 360$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kecmanovic | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Kecmanovic | 5c | 275.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Kecmanovic | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.