Valorant · resolved market
Will Fnatic win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda601bbccb882ac4a66d8dda53d1ea2482aa93f06c4ec839d1c2272cb3322c0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,521$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.76 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,407$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked No | 29c | 1,386$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 13c | 979.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 25c | 971.95$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.95 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 52c | 648$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.03 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 343.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Yes | 50c | 178.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 125$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 30c | 101.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 27c | 99.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +274.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Yes | 72c | 85.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Yes | 71c | 70.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 71c | 70.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Yes | 70c | 64.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 70c | 29.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0816…377abacked Yes | 48c | 28.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fnatic win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?this page
- Will G2 Esports win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Gen.G Esports win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Paper Rex win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Rex Regum Qeon win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Team Heretics win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.