TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-09-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes54c44,700$24,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,138955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No46c44,358$20,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,953.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes58c35,000$20,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,3008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No42c20,217$8,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,728.946960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No50c18,783$9,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,324.121560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes54c3,300$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.877529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes58c3,244$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c2,981$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.331,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No42c2,568$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.5214654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No77c2,549$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.573158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes9c2,209$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No46c1,630$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.4319055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb9…5a12backed No44c1,180$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No45c1,102$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes8c1,088$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.042711.1%3 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yes10c1,002$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No43c936$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.526835.3%24 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes27c881.09$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No43c837.96$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.644772.3%34 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes49c780$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.420232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes9c579.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No43c462.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.556349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes53c436.48$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.331070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes6c433.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4526040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No44c427.27$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.271353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c416.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.321,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No46c410.07$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4424642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes70c357.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes57c348.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5832…3dacbacked No44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes30c318$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8616242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes53c318$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.54520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d2…b978backed Yes6c309.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652737%10 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes13c300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8004…8125backed Yes29c223.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No43c204.65$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.720860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes7c193$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.518242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes57c192.51$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.731850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes57c174.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x569d…ede8backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No43c157.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.73158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No43c152.79$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.52864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c132$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes55c116$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.794341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No43c104$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2812147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes55c100.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.013145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes55c99.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553946.2%18 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes59c84.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1700…54d9backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes56c82.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd229…8917backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No44c79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.098263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes54c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.644551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No43c59.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9426845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8802…f468backed Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes58c51.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0cb…378abacked Yes57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No38c45.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No43c39.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.57926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No48c35.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.65354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes43c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.727844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cc…18cebacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9193…c86cbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e89…edfcbacked Yes55c30.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe71…b183backed Yes52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes52c29.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb96…cd51backed Yes59c23.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41fe…d0d3backed Yes57c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes62c20.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes54c20.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x520d…eaa6backed Yes58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.