Fifa International · resolved market
Will Serbia win on 2025-09-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdca651d00d5faba06f324523260d9a0be28acf055ae33cd008f1f376b0dd14aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 76c | 13,298$10,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 10c | 10,053$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.45 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.97 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 24c | 9,958$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.03 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 75c | 6,728$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.91 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 3,946$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 16c | 2,200$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 2,190$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 78c | 1,525$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.11 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 76c | 1,312$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 25c | 1,240$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 26c | 1,081$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 24c | 986.82$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 75c | 927.33$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 75c | 881.53$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 12c | 826.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 25c | 799.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…c019backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed Yes | 74c | 655.14$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked No | 3c | 592.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…7dd0backed No | 25c | 439.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 11c | 349.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed No | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6849…fbdfbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 75c | 266$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 26c | 232$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 75c | 178.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 75c | 154.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…a2b4backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcaac…fdb2backed Yes | 75c | 131.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 75c | 126.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…7f73backed Yes | 75c | 117.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 99.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…c865backed Yes | 74c | 95.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…d9f7backed Yes | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 75c | 70.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…5a9ebacked Yes | 76c | 69.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 76c | 64.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…bd26backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…b57abacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 75c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d36…eeeabacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 75c | 33.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…aa7cbacked Yes | 76c | 32.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 75c | 27.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes | 76c | 23.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…ab20backed Yes | 75c | 21.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…40a2backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…04cebacked Yes | 75c | 17.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia win on 2025-09-06?this page
- Will Latvia vs. Serbia end in a draw?No won
- Will Latvia win on 2025-09-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.