Middle East · resolved market
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd6d3922c032d401c062e2ecdd09acb9587bf4d1977d367938447c0de52226ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 24c | 27,003$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.62 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 30c | 8,168$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,736.44 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…76fbbacked No | 73c | 6,899$5,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022.05 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 30c | 6,752$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…51b8backed No | 9c | 6,172$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 47c | 5,435$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.61 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 30c | 4,440$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.45 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 68c | 4,199$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.51 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 2c | 4,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 3,400$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.98 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…d5e3backed No | 73c | 3,261$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.75 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 43c | 3,253$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.79 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 9c | 2,599$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.46 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 67c | 2,570$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.55 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 24c | 2,041$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.46 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 67c | 1,992$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.91 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 22c | 1,812$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.91 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…4ea5backed No | 2c | 1,700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 28c | 1,593$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.11 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 34c | 1,404$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.57 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 31c | 1,400$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…4821backed Yes | 26c | 1,243$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 71c | 1,082$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.13 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 967.92$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.9 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 70c | 809.22$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.45 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 27c | 800$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 27c | 761.39$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.59 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 29c | 748.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.36 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed No | 77c | 720.81$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed No | 3c | 718.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 71c | 708.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…4069backed No | 72c | 694.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5a…ab52backed No | 72c | 684.17$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 72c | 661.37$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.06 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 33c | 653$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.98 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…0991backed Yes | 41c | 611.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 68c | 590.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.64 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…710ebacked No | 72c | 559.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…e194backed Yes | 36c | 558.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 34c | 530.29$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.3 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…8f1ebacked Yes | 34c | 500.23$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.23 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…a680backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 28c | 500$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 68c | 482.02$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.36 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 13c | 477.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 465.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.22 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 31c | 439.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 32c | 434.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…aa5abacked No | 71c | 424.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 34c | 410$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac4…c8ccbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes | 40c | 394.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.53 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 36c | 389.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.41 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…838ebacked Yes | 29c | 383.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed No | 68c | 368.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +293.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 78c | 367.46$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.4 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd4…4bfcbacked No | 72c | 350$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…662ebacked Yes | 29c | 347.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.97 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 30c | 346.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.14 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…e0b2backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed Yes | 31c | 335.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.38 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…ba7abacked Yes | 27c | 332.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 72c | 319.77$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 72c | 318.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…aa2dbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 70c | 298.67$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e57…7a52backed Yes | 57c | 279.4$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked Yes | 35c | 271.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…37a4backed No | 5c | 271.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…3e67backed Yes | 31c | 270.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 31c | 250$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 29c | 249.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…b06abacked No | 72c | 244.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 26c | 239.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…ca54backed No | 67c | 230$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 66c | 227.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 76c | 226.74$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 29c | 225.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 74c | 225.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 73c | 222$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.06 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…a96dbacked No | 72c | 201.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed No | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…ee16backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 31c | 170.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 31c | 170$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 24c | 170$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +19.1wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 31c | 161.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04af…06d7backed Yes | 38c | 159.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 26c | 154.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 68c | 153.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…b277backed Yes | 30c | 150.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…24d3backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed No | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 34c | 145.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0790…fd72backed Yes | 36c | 141.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.