Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa76e6675b80d21593e212de844f74c3e9f19e3425cce0f034961b87f9ffcaff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 6c | 6,922$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.02 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 37c | 5,843$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.12 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 17c | 4,509$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.62 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 65c | 4,169$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 70c | 4,074$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.05 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 79c | 3,732$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.27 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 17c | 3,515$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.16 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 3,260$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.65 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…463fbacked Yes | 46c | 3,222$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 3c | 2,821$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 42c | 2,570$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.38 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 45c | 2,526$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.75 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 73c | 2,509$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.42 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c7…3ff0backed Yes | 5c | 2,252$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,046$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.32 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…4710backed No | 70c | 1,805$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 62c | 1,729$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.28 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 62c | 1,608$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.98 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 48c | 1,496$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.07 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 68c | 1,472$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 62c | 1,442$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.04 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 33c | 1,362$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.58 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0f6ebacked No | 67c | 1,350$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 35c | 1,015$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.33 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 18c | 995.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed No | 41c | 980.94$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.46 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed No | 32c | 973.39$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.44 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 5c | 950$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 16c | 929.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 12c | 894$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…7662backed Yes | 41c | 817.39$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 65c | 805$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…ca54backed Yes | 31c | 779.97$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.59 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked No | 65c | 777.81$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…a86bbacked Yes | 41c | 724.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…ad90backed No | 71c | 709.28$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 55c | 701.81$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.87 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…6149backed Yes | 55c | 700$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 30c | 697.27$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.34 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked Yes | 41c | 651.3$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.92 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1616…a3fabacked No | 58c | 626.87$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 5c | 625.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 623.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…4e75backed Yes | 28c | 610.42$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 42c | 596.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed No | 49c | 593.46$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d72backed Yes | 7c | 569.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 70c | 568.03$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.73 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 39c | 537.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.47 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…a199backed No | 53c | 502.66$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 459.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 79c | 453.75$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed No | 47c | 429.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.65 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 44c | 382.72$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…1943backed Yes | 54c | 371.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…746abacked No | 64c | 363.71$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 44c | 360.51$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 45c | 345$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes | 31c | 342.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 48c | 340.43$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 5c | 319.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 68c | 318.3$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed No | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 55c | 299.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 40c | 299.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 43c | 297.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 293.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed Yes | 19c | 287.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed Yes | 38c | 277.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…296ebacked Yes | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…ab07backed Yes | 43c | 268.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…d750backed No | 76c | 257.37$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…215dbacked No | 76c | 252.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…1047backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…f62bbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…94eebacked Yes | 43c | 227.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 20c | 224.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 220.9$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 60c | 220.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…c449backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…49edbacked Yes | 50c | 198.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…b97bbacked No | 50c | 198.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 18c | 191.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 59c | 185.86$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked No | 43c | 172.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…57ecbacked Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 10c | 163.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.