Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ae7dea8d6ac46433b34b7abbaa08ab44058c91f61b99195f410af9fb78f31b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 66c | 6,869$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.1 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 18c | 5,333$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.82 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 16c | 3,923$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 58c | 3,624$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed Yes | 30c | 2,123$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.58 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 66c | 1,834$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.3 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 10c | 1,293$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…0b7dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,201$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.66 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 1c | 1,060$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 19c | 897$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 48c | 821.29$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.22 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 45c | 780.69$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.66 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 13c | 708.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 66c | 678.74$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 657$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 26c | 599.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked Yes | 62c | 598.61$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 74c | 596.85$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 19c | 536.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 34c | 399$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.02 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 78c | 396.03$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 29c | 319.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Yes | 58c | 310.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 9c | 269.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…5e04backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11df…731fbacked Yes | 13c | 250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 17c | 230$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…cdbbbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes | 65c | 200.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…00c0backed Yes | 19c | 154.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…23ebbacked Yes | 71c | 140.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Yes | 51c | 137.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 120.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…8970backed Yes | 19c | 107.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 19c | 102.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…1f5cbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Yes | 60c | 99.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 71c | 98.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 19c | 96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 19c | 76.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 34c | 76.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Yes | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 538 | 28.3%152 W · 386 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 19c | 55.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 76c | 54.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 20c | 50.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…1609backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…d349backed Yes | 41c | 47.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…f447backed Yes | 25c | 43.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b4…786dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9c…3fddbacked Yes | 75c | 26.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c0…06d2backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-30?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.