Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeecef9c9243a7b88294bef5e602b9a8c1f2e3462071808882de5b9e39a4fb128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 4c | 24,936$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.33 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed Yes | 6c | 11,307$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.71 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 11c | 9,753$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 5c | 8,937$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.87 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Yes | 13c | 8,545$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,263$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.52 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Yes | 13c | 4,198$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 13c | 3,886$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…7132backed Yes | 13c | 3,329$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,050$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 5c | 2,016$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…0b7dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,841$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 12c | 1,120$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…e126backed Yes | 11c | 908.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 7c | 888$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11df…731fbacked Yes | 13c | 779.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…9306backed Yes | 12c | 727.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 11c | 726$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…ceefbacked Yes | 14c | 716.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 713$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 10c | 620.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 12c | 599.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 568.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 11c | 546$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdac…e46bbacked Yes | 11c | 445.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 13c | 438.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…5e04backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…230dbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 10c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 8c | 353.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 10c | 278$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…33b3backed Yes | 9c | 253.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 12c | 212.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 8c | 205$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…b219backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…6ec0backed Yes | 8c | 196.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 11c | 174$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -68%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…8211backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…a732backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 13c | 144$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 12c | 141$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…cac9backed Yes | 12c | 121.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4976backed Yes | 10c | 112.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…4876backed Yes | 13c | 100.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 100.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed2…caabbacked Yes | 13c | 92.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 14c | 78.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.