La Liga · resolved market
Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ac070bc2e1d5d058dc5819081567ee1a7a1324b75d6628122270f43ee7dbdb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 43c | 4,287$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.98 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 47c | 1,286$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 56c | 1,023$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.93 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 957.02$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.83 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 10c | 800$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 21c | 502.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 45c | 498$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.9 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 24c | 448.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed No | 9c | 375$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 33c | 337$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 78c | 255.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 51c | 127$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked No | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 13c | 100.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes | 74c | 93.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Yes | 74c | 67.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 56.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…a0e4backed Yes | 72c | 35.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…14babacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…7e3bbacked Yes | 44c | 28.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 57c | 28.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Yes | 71c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-24?this page
- Will Osasuna vs. Valencia end in a draw?No won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-08-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.