MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1594475c159fcae4f9359b3a1e1624935833d7fed8bdfcaaba79a7d5a4bc1cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Braves, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $651,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $651,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Braves | 54c | 342,903$183,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,971.25 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 47c | 97,000$45,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,410 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 47c | 85,768$40,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,742.75 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 46c | 59,584$27,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,175.56 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 53c | 36,996$19,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,603.26 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 53c | 35,125$18,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,616.11 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Marlins | 47c | 19,999$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.47 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Marlins | 49c | 19,551$9,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,061.81 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 49c | 17,524$8,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,936.99 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Marlins | 46c | 14,049$6,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.77 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins | 49c | 12,314$6,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,306.22 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 47c | 10,600$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves | 49c | 9,809$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,837.25 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Marlins | 47c | 9,162$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,855.7 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 55c | 7,434$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.41 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 56c | 6,221$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.44 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 48c | 5,192$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.87 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Marlins | 45c | 5,000$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.17 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Braves | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.95 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Marlins | 46c | 4,565$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.94 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 49c | 4,268$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 47c | 4,177$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.63 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Marlins | 48c | 4,064$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.78 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 47c | 3,740$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.2 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Braves | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Braves | 52c | 3,429$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.89 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 52c | 3,384$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.53 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Marlins | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.82 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 47c | 3,064$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.26 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 51c | 2,837$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.54 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Marlins | 48c | 2,736$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.9 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Marlins | 48c | 2,349$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.16 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Marlins | 48c | 2,288$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.82 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Marlins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Marlins | 46c | 1,850$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 50c | 1,840$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.84 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Marlins | 47c | 1,811$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.95 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Marlins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Marlins | 50c | 1,240$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Marlins | 47c | 1,220$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.31 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 54c | 1,136$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 56c | 1,132$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.42 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Marlins | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.19 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Marlins | 47c | 1,027$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.48 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Braves | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 38c | 964.34$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.19 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 49c | 876.7$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 51c | 844.12$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 20c | 811.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins | 47c | 795.74$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.74 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 61c | 716.61$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…7c8cbacked Braves | 51c | 696.08$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c04cbacked Marlins | 50c | 696$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Braves | 34c | 620.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.53 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 49c | 615.62$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.51 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Marlins | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Marlins | 74c | 597.32$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 52c | 590.3$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Marlins | 47c | 584$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.52 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 48c | 562.74$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.77 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Braves | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 45c | 478.67$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.27 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Marlins | 47c | 451$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Marlins | 55c | 441.97$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.44 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Marlins | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marlins | 47c | 419$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.07 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Marlins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 47c | 400.02$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Marlins | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Marlins | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 46c | 378.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 50c | 343.46$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Marlins | 47c | 341$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.73 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins | 46c | 330$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Marlins | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Braves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Braves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 46c | 259.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Marlins | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Braves | 53c | 250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Braves | 15c | 216$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…afa3backed Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Braves | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Braves | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Braves | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Braves | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Braves | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Braves | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Braves | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Braves | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Marlinsthis page
- Braves vs. Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.