MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66d6b86f6c9735e29e7af0ea95d9b544a6801621f232ac19693279a519eee780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $954,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $967,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $954,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 48c | 633,085$303,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303,875.69 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 293,989$152,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,114.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Red Sox | 52c | 79,000$41,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,920 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 41,800$21,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,064 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Orioles | 48c | 39,332$18,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,871.28 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Red Sox | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 52c | 22,521$11,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,810 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 52c | 21,000$10,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 52c | 18,034$9,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,656.32 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 17,524$9,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,411.28 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Red Sox | 52c | 15,752$8,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560.9 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 47c | 13,962$6,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,605.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Sox | 52c | 13,577$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,567.26 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 54c | 13,301$7,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,180.01 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked Red Sox | 62c | 12,915$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Red Sox | 43c | 11,213$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,402.59 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Orioles | 47c | 11,025$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.24 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Red Sox | 53c | 10,950$5,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,146.5 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Red Sox | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Orioles | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Red Sox | 52c | 9,817$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.25 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox | 52c | 9,800$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 52c | 9,125$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 47c | 8,100$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.28 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 61c | 7,860$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Orioles | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Orioles | 47c | 6,644$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.74 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Red Sox | 52c | 6,355$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.62 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked Orioles | 48c | 4,532$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Orioles | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 51c | 3,764$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.65 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Red Sox | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Orioles | 47c | 2,894$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Red Sox | 73c | 2,823$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.57 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Red Sox | 53c | 2,683$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.48 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Red Sox | 46c | 2,566$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.63 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Red Sox | 52c | 2,227$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Orioles | 49c | 2,098$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,675$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.94 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Red Sox | 58c | 1,630$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Orioles | 47c | 1,613$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 47c | 1,463$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.52 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Red Sox | 51c | 1,395$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,385$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Red Sox | 70c | 1,366$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,339$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,244$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.12 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 32c | 1,242$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.11 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,193$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,051$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.67 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Orioles | 48c | 999.99$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Red Sox | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox | 61c | 960.04$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.42 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 42c | 900.48$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.05 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Orioles | 34c | 886.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 32c | 770.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Sox | 54c | 726.69$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.42 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 36c | 689.19$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Orioles | 48c | 667.85$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.57 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Red Sox | 68c | 663.19$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.05 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 53c | 584$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Red Sox | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Red Sox | 53c | 566$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 53c | 565.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.01 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Red Sox | 51c | 558.53$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Red Sox | 52c | 546.52$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.33 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Orioles | 49c | 544.69$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.9 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Sox | 53c | 542.35$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.9 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Orioles | 45c | 447.71$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Orioles | 43c | 405.15$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Orioles | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 389$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.63 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Red Sox | 63c | 387.95$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Red Sox | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 52c | 350.46$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.22 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 57c | 349.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Red Sox | 59c | 338.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Red Sox | 80c | 334.52$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Red Sox | 52c | 327.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 285$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Red Sox | 55c | 273.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Orioles | 49c | 269$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Orioles | 47c | 255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Red Sox | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Red Sox | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…23c5backed Orioles | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Red Sox | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.