MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97b960e62400fac70938618691bea8350e49ed53dfe2e49a7a5a549dc9750daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Reds, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 41c | 24,671$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 16,500$9,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,818.07 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 10,141$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070.83 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 9,030$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 5,767$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Reds | 45c | 4,424$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 4,172$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.39 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 3,545$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.26 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Reds | 39c | 2,737$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.55 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,043$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.75 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Reds | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,811$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.53 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 24c | 1,491$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Reds | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 39c | 1,363$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.69 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,338$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.71 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,261$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Reds | 53c | 1,220$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,145$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.81 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Reds | 44c | 1,132$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.87 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,066$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.7 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Reds | 45c | 1,066$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 1,000$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 980$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 946.96$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 916.06$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.39 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 45c | 900.46$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.46 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Reds | 31c | 872.45$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Reds | 53c | 846.75$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.78 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Reds | 31c | 832.36$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Reds | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Reds | 41c | 711.19$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Reds | 48c | 640$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.53 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 596.56$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.95 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 46c | 575.3$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.64 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 550$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Reds | 64c | 520.92$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.04 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 19c | 516.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Reds | 46c | 495.65$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 495.5$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Diamondbacks | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 445.94$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Reds | 28c | 428.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 424.78$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.75 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…4622backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 414.27$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 43cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 44c | 405.66$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.49 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 398$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Reds | 32c | 380$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Reds | 44c | 339.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…cee0backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 317.51$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Reds | 40c | 305.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Reds | 45c | 302.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 50c | 298.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 282.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 250.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 238$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 44c | 229.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Reds | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Reds | 46c | 219.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 219.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 213.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 66c | 209.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Reds | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Reds | 47c | 193.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 36c | 182.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 46c | 162.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 145.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Reds | 49c | 144$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Reds | 44c | 141$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 132.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds | 40c | 113.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Reds | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Reds | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Reds | 22c | 108.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 35c | 104.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Reds | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Reds | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Reds | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8592…fdb2backed Reds | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…ffdabacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…bdbcbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Diamondbacksthis page
- Reds vs. Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Diamondbacks (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.