MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c261a87d66955a1bdaff1fe60b6287b6a309a9971fabafebaf947f771468b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Padres, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 53c | 15,463$8,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,221.03 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mariners | 47c | 10,581$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,578.42 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 49c | 7,212$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Padres | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Padres | 47c | 5,746$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.7 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Padres | 47c | 5,652$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.52 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Padres | 48c | 5,046$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mariners | 53c | 4,300$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.99 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Padres | 49c | 4,202$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.8 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 53c | 3,278$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Padres | 16c | 3,190$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.01 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 10c | 3,144$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.68 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 52c | 2,941$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.13 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Padres | 59c | 2,885$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Padres | 1c | 2,740$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 53c | 2,693$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.71 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 53c | 2,003$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.25 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 42c | 1,770$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mariners | 71c | 1,719$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.69 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Padres | 21c | 1,638$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.16 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 57c | 1,493$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 25c | 1,404$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.98 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 24c | 1,388$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.61 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 58c | 1,342$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.63 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mariners | 56c | 1,285$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.97 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Padres | 48c | 1,268$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Padres | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,148$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.78 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Padres | 6c | 1,096$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Padres | 31c | 1,081$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 2c | 1,065$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Mariners | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Padres | 54c | 949.99$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.99 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Padres | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 46c | 899.98$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 18c | 828.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Padres | 46c | 795.28$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Padres | 48c | 781.25$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 27c | 695$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 37c | 643$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 53c | 628$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.16 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 40c | 625.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Padres | 3c | 572.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners | 80c | 568.77$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Padres | 48c | 541.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Padres | 57c | 489.12$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.92 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mariners | 53c | 481.55$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.33 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 47c | 400.48$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.89 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Padres | 62c | 315.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Padres | 32c | 308.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Padres | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 54c | 293$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mariners | 53c | 283$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 52c | 259.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Padres | 6c | 253.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Padres | 59c | 205$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Padres | 8c | 197.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mariners | 53c | 196.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 45c | 192$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…2d0cbacked Padres | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd4…1cd1backed Padres | 15c | 187.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…f97ebacked Padres | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Padres | 48c | 183.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…1744backed Padres | 47c | 182.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…4f47backed Padres | 47c | 176.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 55c | 167.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ef…69f4backed Mariners | 53c | 143.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Mariners | 71c | 140.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb199…dcdfbacked Mariners | 53c | 135.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 56c | 133.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Mariners | 53c | 133$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…e2bfbacked Mariners | 53c | 126.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…d5ddbacked Mariners | 53c | 124.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 56c | 122.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Mariners | 48c | 114.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…0a40backed Mariners | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Padres | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Padres | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Padres | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…b5fcbacked Mariners | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Padres | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Mariners | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Mariners | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Mariners | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…a0e4backed Mariners | 67c | 97.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Padres | 47c | 89.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Padres | 54c | 85.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Mariners | 51c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.