MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0d7064f73c83169214bcfdebe13c87f29af1b3fbd1db208da665932f4fa1232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Phillies, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,563,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,542,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,563,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mets | 47c | 1,110,769$516,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593,796.91 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 54c | 598,314$322,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322,525.73 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 53c | 110,065$58,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,334.26 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 53c | 43,644$23,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,131.09 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 54c | 39,000$21,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,030 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 54c | 33,944$18,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,387.27 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 53c | 33,335$17,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,667.55 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 54c | 31,113$16,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,701.11 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Phillies | 53c | 24,323$12,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,891.26 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 54c | 23,872$12,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,832.28 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 58c | 23,110$13,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,317.16 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 54c | 19,935$10,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,683.97 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 45c | 16,271$7,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.04 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 53c | 15,882$8,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,417.51 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 72c | 15,732$11,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 12c | 14,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Phillies | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mets | 47c | 11,016$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.38 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mets | 46c | 10,874$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,905.96 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 54c | 10,726$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.77 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Phillies | 29c | 10,147$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.72 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 52c | 5,569$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.06 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 54c | 5,562$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 53c | 4,505$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.65 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 54c | 4,474$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.64 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Phillies | 42c | 3,550$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Phillies | 54c | 3,300$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mets | 45c | 3,252$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.45 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 54c | 2,972$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.33 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mets | 45c | 2,713$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.62 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Phillies | 50c | 2,644$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Phillies | 66c | 2,575$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.22 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Phillies | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Mets | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mets | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Phillies | 59c | 1,602$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.26 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Phillies | 54c | 1,575$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.59 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mets | 36c | 1,502$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.44 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mets | 46c | 1,487$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.96 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 40c | 1,265$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.72 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Phillies | 54c | 1,165$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.85 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mets | 27c | 1,100$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Mets | 45c | 1,045$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.81 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phillies | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Phillies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Mets | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…7c8cbacked Phillies | 55c | 943.64$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c04cbacked Mets | 46c | 943.48$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mets | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Mets | 44c | 856.44$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.52 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 46c | 815.22$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.22 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 54c | 756.7$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.62 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 49c | 720.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 4c | 700.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mets | 46c | 652$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 46c | 651.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.07 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Phillies | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 28c | 551.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 19c | 523.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Phillies | 53c | 510.53$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.58 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…345dbacked Phillies | 65c | 510$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 48c | 507.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mets | 47c | 478.65$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.69 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 58c | 457.44$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.33 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Mets | 47c | 450$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 45c | 446.53$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Phillies | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Mets | 52c | 385.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Phillies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Phillies | 68c | 340.09$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.26 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Mets | 48c | 334$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mets | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 72c | 317.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Mets | 46c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mets | 32c | 297.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.31 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…979abacked Phillies | 44c | 267.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Phillies | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 12c | 238.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 55c | 222.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 29c | 210.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Mets | 58c | 206.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Metsthis page
- Phillies vs. Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.