Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da838ed194b70cc51ef6f89c51adaf8791cc5c49c7e81372bd9d0902ecdf0d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 71c | 4,226$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.52 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 3,630$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.02 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 13c | 1,959$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.16 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 73c | 1,833$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.9 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 1,657$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.66 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 49c | 1,591$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.57 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 920.36$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.51 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Yes | 77c | 914.16$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 79c | 912.5$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 52c | 526.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.8 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 30c | 343.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 61c | 328.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 73c | 233.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 54c | 215.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 46c | 107$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 55c | 100.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 14c | 87.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 49c | 75.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 73c | 55.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…a0e4backed Yes | 73c | 42.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad36…84d3backed Yes | 74c | 27.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-08-24?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?No won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-08-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.