MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b60a5cfb7000e946a2e4fc5b7dadb4ae1d7ccad64414e05876eba4e515d6ff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Reds, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 49c | 20,553$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Angels | 52c | 14,413$7,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,977.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Angels | 46c | 13,145$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,103.47 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Reds | 62c | 5,300$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Angels | 56c | 3,964$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.16 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 53c | 3,830$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.49 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels | 53c | 3,413$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.04 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 56c | 3,130$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.89 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Reds | 42c | 3,084$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Angels | 53c | 3,000$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…feb1backed Reds | 45c | 2,433$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 53c | 2,405$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.3 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…0be4backed Angels | 55c | 2,275$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Reds | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Reds | 44c | 1,942$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.49 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…0704backed Angels | 55c | 1,936$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…d69cbacked Reds | 45c | 1,860$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Reds | 47c | 1,845$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.32 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…31c3backed Reds | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Angels | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 45c | 1,643$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.52 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…f355backed Reds | 45c | 1,624$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…450ebacked Angels | 55c | 1,615$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Angels | 55c | 1,600$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…0a06backed Angels | 55c | 1,585$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…f672backed Reds | 45c | 1,576$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Angels | 52c | 1,528$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.23 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Angels | 54c | 1,480$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.04 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 46c | 1,439$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.72 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Angels | 54c | 1,331$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.26 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Reds | 49c | 1,305$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…7956backed Reds | 46c | 1,239$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Angels | 54c | 1,162$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.54 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 43c | 1,146$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd597…a96cbacked Angels | 63c | 1,124$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Reds | 46c | 1,098$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.08 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Angels | 54c | 1,058$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.45 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Reds | 54c | 988.7$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.22 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 47c | 946.94$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.06 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Angels | 54c | 943.29$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.91 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Angels | 51c | 936.35$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.81 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…a674backed Angels | 55c | 933$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 51c | 930.47$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…a83fbacked Angels | 55c | 927$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Angels | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Angels | 55c | 913.82$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.3 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Angels | 58c | 903.29$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.09 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 46c | 899.99$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 55c | 866.3$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.37 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…a0e4backed Reds | 39c | 811.53$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Angels | 53c | 797.98$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.29 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 46c | 792.35$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.48 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Reds | 49c | 788.48$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.24 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 37c | 772.57$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Angels | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Reds | 45c | 667.38$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.79 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 43c | 666.32$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 45c | 653.38$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 46c | 652$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Reds | 46c | 646.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Reds | 42c | 624.07$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.31 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Reds | 49c | 554.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.37 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Angels | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Reds | 44c | 499.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Reds | 44c | 483.74$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Angels | 54c | 481.16$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Angels | 55c | 448.52$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Angels | 54c | 444.49$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Reds | 43c | 441.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Reds | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Reds | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Angels | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Reds | 45c | 364$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Angels | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 46c | 354.35$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 45c | 349.97$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Reds | 61c | 343.15$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 53c | 320$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Reds | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Reds | 12c | 317.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Reds | 45c | 309.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Reds | 45c | 299.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Angels | 55c | 294$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Reds | 45c | 278$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Angels | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels | 42c | 263.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Angels | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Angels | 53c | 250$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Reds | 47c | 230.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Angels | 45c | 226.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 46c | 218.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Reds | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…0235backed Reds | 50c | 196.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.