La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f4346bfbbf45441c4b485b543700b13a79f4d8e54b9a1c5e24f1ff399b6a222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 61c | 18,060$11,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 10,371$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.69 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 39c | 7,720$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.51 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 42c | 4,323$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 1,382$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.51 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 59c | 1,003$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 58c | 986.99$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.53 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 68c | 874$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.16 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 60c | 480.35$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 293.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 39c | 131.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 103.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 102.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Yes | 40c | 100.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 15c | 100.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 65c | 97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 77c | 86.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 41c | 49.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 38c | 32.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 29.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Girona vs. Sevilla end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.