La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b49a6dd0fc5c710f4c26efc049b4d9cdb6f97885cca45e320d00372bbcab3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 57c | 6,044$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.8 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 31c | 5,731$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 68c | 2,538$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.13 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 1,614$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.94 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 33c | 1,501$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,045$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 685.53$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.85 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 31c | 632$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.87 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 69c | 560.99$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.08 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 60c | 528.23$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.25 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 69c | 428$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 59c | 341.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 4c | 303.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 33c | 301.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 30c | 270$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 60c | 167.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 162$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 65c | 153.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 29c | 137.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 109.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…de3abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…9afcbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 34c | 96.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 34c | 91.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…39f5backed Yes | 62c | 81.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 68c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 42c | 50.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 40c | 38.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 67c | 22.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…15d4backed Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Girona vs. Sevilla end in a draw?No won
- Will Girona win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.