La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf86798223163845575f7356af112c93de06130be32b910bd698e61cb2267ad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 47c | 9,167$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.61 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 52c | 8,300$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 30c | 2,524$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 48c | 2,520$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.32 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…212bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,811$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 53c | 1,627$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.25 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed No | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 72c | 701.58$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 672.38$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 54c | 651.11$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked No | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 573.91$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 54c | 552.87$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 71c | 522.19$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 46c | 502.34$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.15 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 454.05$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.66 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 36c | 308.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Yes | 54c | 288$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 47c | 287.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes | 6c | 230.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 54c | 224.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…b038backed Yes | 57c | 196.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d99…9666backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 44c | 124.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 57c | 110.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…b0bebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…ad4fbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 57c | 92.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 14c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 45c | 72.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 62.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 45.5%121 W · 145 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 52c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 46c | 21.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…4e8bbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 72c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-24?this page
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-24?No won
- Will Real Sociedad vs. Espanyol end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.