TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked No47c161,893$76,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,198.981030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes53c43,443$23,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,418.088558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes53c30,546$16,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,360.935955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c18,711$9,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,794.172,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes65c18,179$11,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,452.623943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8004351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes53c8,098$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,806.2917543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes53c5,902$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.075240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes53c3,767$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.831650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes49c3,000$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.538457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes53c2,600$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.1333357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes53c2,325$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.6120143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No48c2,265$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.191850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes63c2,249$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes42c2,174$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.2111772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.792454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Yes45c1,480$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.25825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Yes55c1,254$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes43c1,162$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.418334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No45c1,029$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.792152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No54c1,005$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.884037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44014254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab43…f82cbacked Yes52c961.52$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes44c957.48$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.379154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes52c875$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4205635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked Yes43c791.99$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes42c690.48$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.4817744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes47c688.16$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.166243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Yes42c652$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No47c603$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.791637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed Yes52c599.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+49.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes42c384.07$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.071560%9 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+115.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes53c373.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes53c329$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.633053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes54c296$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.162748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes52c289.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.082653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb181…3d52backed Yes53c285.32$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0213752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f6…c600backed Yes42c274.48$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…490fbacked Yes44c272.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes52c248.91$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Yes42c238.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.271936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes43c233.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes45c230.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.384100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No13c221.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3720033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes52c208.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10044753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes52c205.09$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.194663%29 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yes53c177.53$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.442839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa985…2c5abacked Yes52c173.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes51c165.51$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.33040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes53c164.41$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.273540%14 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes52c160.83$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes44c148.15$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.336642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No14c142$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1728445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.86547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes53c133.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.353246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c125.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.521,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd922…310fbacked Yes53c118.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.386553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes70c115$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes38c113.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7250…418cbacked Yes45c112.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.311450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d4…3562backed Yes42c109.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes41c99.61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.794522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a30…fca1backed Yes53c95.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Yes55c91.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No60c84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.434346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Yes39c76.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+80.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Yes54c75.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.771338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1c…f1fbbacked Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.92857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.18862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Yes53c66.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Yes56c64.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No52c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.281957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed No48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa065…e2bfbacked Yes45c51.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.510339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b0…4d8ebacked Yes52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a0d…0d74backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed No54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes42c46.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.675125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc35b…28b6backed Yes44c45.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.891118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-65.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.