La Liga · resolved market
Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63241dbb3a5142f6879d34bd957cc2d3ba52a014f455b8dcd00b10e034631a87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 68c | 1,615$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.77 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 31c | 602.48$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 68c | 533.5$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.72 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 351.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 71c | 246.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 78c | 165.81$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 27c | 147.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 29c | 126.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 71c | 126.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…b742backed Yes | 27c | 71.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…f941backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 70c | 29.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 73c | 28.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Espanyol vs. Osasuna end in a draw?No won
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.