La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d9f1931699bb2eee49253beba0265cef104d3754dd0df531817ba0ff08695b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 946.17$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 62c | 638.55$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.07 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 69c | 541.24$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 521$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.94 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Yes | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 24c | 253.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 253$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 46c | 248.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 40c | 246$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 41c | 230$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 58c | 158.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 153$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 60c | 115.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 35c | 113.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 37c | 108.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 34c | 89.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 77c | 73.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 62c | 54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 39c | 52.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No | 62c | 42.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 60c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Yes | 68c | 35.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Yes | 41c | 33.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…6928backed Yes | 41c | 28.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 61c | 24.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Espanyol vs. Osasuna end in a draw?No won
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.