Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x503c37470f69273bcaa8c52bc932812e0d0dcd271191fc4badadb4596566f66f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75ac…fbcfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…61aabacked No | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…6041backed No | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efc…c084backed No | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…c074backed No | 45c | 435$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…9790backed Yes | 55c | 395$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f90…bacebacked Yes | 55c | 355$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…37bbbacked Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 56c | 185.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f1edbacked No | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 39c | 41.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…414cbacked Yes | 61c | 41.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…8e01backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 41c | 25.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-12?this page
- Will Club Brugge vs. RB Salzburg end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Salzburg win on 2025-08-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.