Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1229781cdf9a633b2074cae2ac2e58ce2b26e07d6e59e8b852b05303e2d57dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 8c | 6,344$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 4c | 5,607$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.34 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,103$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 78c | 3,972$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.52 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,857$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 71c | 3,469$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.47 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…f294backed Yes | 6c | 3,157$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.14 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 20c | 3,055$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,900$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.47 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 2,586$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…cef3backed Yes | 5c | 2,242$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,115$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 72c | 2,033$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.07 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 5c | 1,920$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…8e31backed Yes | 15c | 1,711$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 9c | 1,584$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…df8abacked Yes | 15c | 1,456$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 1,442$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…3913backed Yes | 6c | 1,384$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…17d2backed Yes | 22c | 1,356$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,299$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 1,246$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…89c3backed Yes | 4c | 1,188$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 53c | 1,128$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.15 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed Yes | 36c | 1,104$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 5c | 1,102$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 53c | 975.43$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.95 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 22c | 870.18$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 7c | 800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 11c | 717.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 11c | 698$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 78c | 664.2$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e8…67cdbacked Yes | 15c | 660$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951d…f79fbacked Yes | 5c | 652.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 5c | 640.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…aa35backed Yes | 19c | 632.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9717…ddf3backed Yes | 14c | 622.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 16c | 609.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 67c | 590.38$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.26 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 22c | 557.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 15c | 545.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 11c | 543.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 8c | 541.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 17c | 540.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 19c | 525.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 79c | 499.99$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…6ed8backed Yes | 32c | 485.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 3c | 484.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 30c | 460.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…08e9backed Yes | 5c | 426.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…055abacked Yes | 24c | 426.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a71…d027backed Yes | 75c | 420.08$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 4c | 370.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 17c | 370$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 3c | 366.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 7c | 360.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…52f9backed Yes | 3c | 330$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 10c | 309.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…3ba6backed Yes | 4c | 279.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…02b9backed Yes | 20c | 251.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 6c | 233.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 13c | 230.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…b42bbacked Yes | 5c | 220$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 7c | 215$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 36c | 214.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…68d1backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…8779backed Yes | 8c | 186.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 178$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…8749backed Yes | 44c | 176.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…1ec7backed Yes | 27c | 176.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 176$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…746abacked Yes | 30c | 174.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 77c | 157.54$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Yes | 34c | 135$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 30c | 121.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 71c | 101.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…4d7abacked Yes | 21c | 93.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…53c9backed No | 75c | 72.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…90a2backed Yes | 30c | 67.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…08a3backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 28c | 61.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…729bbacked Yes | 25c | 52.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 53c | 43.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes | 35c | 32.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…489dbacked No | 70c | 25.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.