Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd479b63de09fa7dc1c4cdb01e453ca9c51f5f08b20b677ffb2a3e9056d5a7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 26c | 3,267$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.84 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 2,956$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 2,027$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 74c | 1,986$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.44 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 75c | 1,375$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.08 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 907.49$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 71c | 800$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 25c | 692.3$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 73c | 690.38$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.61 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 29c | 684.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 71c | 671.41$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.39 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 28c | 639.04$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 23c | 600$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 26c | 321$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 78c | 199.7$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 76c | 181$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…f962backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 17c | 115.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 27c | 109.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 27c | 109.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 24c | 104.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 73c | 79.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 28c | 73.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…2ebebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 30c | 68.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 25c | 60.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…66c5backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 25c | 48.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 33.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.