Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Richmond Spiders vs. Belmont Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdadb3ba4f83f9ad8bf07187b80b7d87028cbe67de8ae54da805c9be804982474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Richmond Spidersof Richmond Spiders, Belmont Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Belmont Bruins | 58c | 2,058$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.58 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Richmond Spiders | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Richmond Spiders | 38c | 1,591$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.23 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Belmont Bruins | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Belmont Bruins | 71c | 520.01$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.21 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Belmont Bruins | 64c | 480.03$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Belmont Bruins | 61c | 416$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Belmont Bruins | 56c | 357.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Belmont Bruins | 50c | 288.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.18 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Richmond Spiders | 43c | 227$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Belmont Bruins | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Belmont Bruins | 71c | 180$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Richmond Spiders | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Richmond Spiders | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Belmont Bruins | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Richmond Spiders | 27c | 74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Belmont Bruins | 72c | 69.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Richmond Spiders | 36c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Richmond Spiders | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…78aebacked Belmont Bruins | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…7b1fbacked Belmont Bruins | 63c | 16.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Belmont Bruins | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.