Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ade1357cf6fa93b9497decaae6a9d34d4c31b0e23d501992343608b442cc58f

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 5, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $466,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $190,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,919 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	2c	56,968$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.5	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…7802backed Yes	4c	22,530$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$996.11	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	2c	17,683$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.61	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	12c	9,656$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.77	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf224…7532backed Yes	16c	8,111$1,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276.85	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	3c	7,493$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.65	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	5c	7,389$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.36	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	11c	7,275$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.49	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	3c	6,873$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.48	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	2c	6,594$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.57	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe893…f215backed Yes	4c	6,494$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.45	69	4.3%3 W · 66 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	6,429$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.82	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	4c	5,340$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.11	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed Yes	5c	5,000$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	11c	4,898$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.26	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	3c	4,500$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	16c	3,700$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.76	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	3,696$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.11	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	3c	3,500$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.6	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	6c	3,499$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.37	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,454$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.12	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	8c	3,316$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.85	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	3,131$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.67	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…a912backed Yes	7c	3,102$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+275.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb64e…9379backed Yes	16c	3,000$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	7c	3,000$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b9…db98backed Yes	7c	2,937$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.78	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+127.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	8c	2,868$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.91	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24db…5947backed Yes	18c	2,276$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.3	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e61…a88abacked Yes	3c	2,059$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.27	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0013…3c30backed Yes	5c	2,055$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	4c	2,000$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	3c	1,959$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.74	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf5e…4168backed Yes	1c	1,953$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.23	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	13c	1,946$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.69	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	5c	1,890$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.34	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	6c	1,867$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.99	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes	14c	1,742$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.8	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	10c	1,717$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.01	135	19.3%26 W · 109 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	5c	1,677$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7dd…c5b7backed Yes	10c	1,614$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.71	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ce…b5d6backed Yes	10c	1,611$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.98	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaba5…b775backed Yes	15c	1,503$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4256…b85ebacked Yes	12c	1,500$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.5	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	5c	1,473$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.35	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes	5c	1,349$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.28	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	5c	1,345$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.42	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	+97.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75c0…1484backed Yes	7c	1,342$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa139…aa45backed Yes	1c	1,301$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	11c	1,257$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.28	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	1c	1,254$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Yes	18c	1,160$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.19	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	9c	1,113$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.42	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	7c	1,082$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.69	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	10c	1,020$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.87	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5d9…cc7abacked Yes	15c	1,002$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf8…dba1backed Yes	6c	1,000$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	8c	998.97$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0301…4bc6backed Yes	8c	992.91$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.13	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	9c	978.19$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.07	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe04f…f395backed Yes	8c	911.57$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.21	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	13cpaid	+155.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…d953backed Yes	16c	820.27$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.1	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	17c	810.47$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.63	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e30…0444backed Yes	7c	785.11$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	13c	747.23$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.32	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc437…9fb0backed Yes	6c	710$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.38	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa789…fb63backed Yes	16c	700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.1	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b89…e708backed Yes	11c	697.18$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	100	8%8 W · 92 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	6c	606.34$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.99	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	4c	570$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.67	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…24d6backed Yes	6c	560.87$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.71	76	13.2%10 W · 66 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	13c	553.84$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.92	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0565…46e8backed Yes	7c	538.18$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	2c	500.03$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…8d43backed Yes	10c	500$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…929fbacked Yes	18c	498.72$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf15a…6df2backed Yes	11c	471.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes	6c	449.15$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.38	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664d…aa7dbacked Yes	7c	447.29$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	50	10%5 W · 45 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd93…bd6fbacked Yes	12c	432.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06bc…2887backed Yes	6c	403.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	67	14.9%10 W · 57 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3a…f674backed Yes	18c	400$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb3…4393backed Yes	9c	400$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.14	138	21.7%30 W · 108 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c9…479ebacked Yes	15c	395.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea3…cfadbacked Yes	18c	390.14$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	4c	387.18$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	350$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf37b…4edabacked Yes	7c	346.07$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	63	6.3%4 W · 59 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea0…a84bbacked Yes	6c	343.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.27	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa069…1e59backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	16cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes	18c	333$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.53	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	4c	329.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes	9c	323.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	85	14.1%12 W · 73 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x806d…d6f1backed Yes	13c	310.85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6601…c061backed Yes	15c	304.78$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dba…9389backed Yes	13c	302.92$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.96	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+88.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4c…3d9fbacked Yes	10c	301.55$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9321…7a34backed Yes	4c	289.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d16…9686backed Yes	5c	285.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed Yes	18c	285.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?this page
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times August 1–August 8?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event